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Maries Two Cents

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Homeland Security Advisory

July 11, 2006

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Jump In Tax Revenues/Deficit Declines Sharply/Tax Cuts Working

MyWay.Com Is Reporting:
Trade Deficit Declines Sharply


WASHINGTON - The deficit in the broadest measure of foreign trade narrowed sharply in the first three months of this year after setting an all-time high at the end of 2005.
America’s current account trade deficit fell to $208.7 billion in the January-March quarter, down 6.5 percent from a record $223.1 billion deficit set in the final three months of last year, the Commerce Department reported Friday.

The improvement exceeded expectations although it still left the quarterly deficit at the second highest level on record and the equivalent of 6.4 percent of the total U.S. economy, down from 7 percent in the fourth quarter.

Analysts said rising oil prices will likely send the deficit in the current quarter to a new high, and they forecast that the imbalance for all of 2006 is on track to set a record for a fifth straight year.

"Even with the modest improvement at the start of the year, reducing the U.S. current account deficit will be an exceptionally slow process," said Douglas Porter, an economist at BMO Nesbitt Burns, a Toronto investment bank.

The country has to raise $2 billion from foreigners each day to finance the deficits, which Democrats said means more and more U.S. assets being owned by foreigners and controversies such as the flap over the aborted Dubai Ports deal.

"The current account deficit remains unsustainably large," said Sen. Jack Reed, the top Democrat on Congress’ Joint Economic Committee. "If we don’t change course, we will continue to mortgage our future to foreign investors and foreign governments."

In a second report Friday, consumer sentiment in early June rebounded to 82.4 after a big drop in May, according to the University of Michigan’s preliminary survey for the month. Economists were encouraged that consumers’ expectations for future inflation dropped sharply, a development likely to be viewed favorably by the Federal Reserve.

The deficit in the current account is considered the best measure of America’s international standing because it covers not only trade in goods and services but also investment flows and foreign aid.

So far financing the deficit has not been a problem with foreigners more than willing to sell their cars, televisions and computers to Americans and hold dollars in return. That money is invested in stocks, Treasury bonds and other U.S. assets.

However, the concern is that at some point foreigners will become less willing to hold U.S. assets. If they began dumping their U.S. holdings it could depress stock prices, send U.S. interest rates higher and cause the dollar’s value to fall sharply.

The current account deficit in 2005 jumped 19 percent to $791.5 billion, according to revised figures released Friday, up from $665.3 billion in 2004.

For the January-March period, the deficit in goods and services narrowed by $4 billion to $190.7 billion. Americans earned $1.9 billion more on their overseas investments than foreigners earned on their U.S. holdings, returning this figure to positive territory after it had slipped to a negative $2.2 billion in the fourth quarter.

The category that includes foreign aid and private remittances by people living in this country to their families overseas narrowed to $19.9 billion, $6.3 billion below the outflow in the fourth quarter.

Budget Deficit Drops 296B Under Estimate

Surprising Jump In Tax Revenues Is Curbing Deficit

Payrolls Grow By 121,000 In June
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Gee! I guess President Bush's Tax Cuts are working. Now if we can get the "Line Item Veto" Passed President Bush will be able to cut the "Pork" out of all the crap that get's attached to everything that is ever plopped on his desk that he always HAS to sign in order to get what HE wants! PASS THE LINE ITEM VETO!!!

2 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

The more you think about it, the more surpassingly amazing it is how big a fool you need to be to fall for the White House's song and dance about the falling budget deficit.

The budget deficit last year was $318 billion.

In February, the White House 'estimated' the deficit for 2006 would be $423 billion.

Today they released a new estimate that it would be $296 billion.

In other words, between February and July tax cuts reduced the deficit by a whopping $127 billion.

Would you fall for this?

July 13, 2006 1:41 AM  
Blogger Marie's Two Cents said...

Hal,
I know this comes as a sickening shock to you terrorist loving Liberals but Bush's Tax cuts are working and the Revenue generated from the wealthy are deceasing the deficit. No matter how you try and paint this, the economy is strong. Well it was until all hell broke lose with Israel and the terrorists. But you can jump for joy over that one right?

July 13, 2006 5:59 PM  

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